CORONAVIRUS DATA DASHBOARD
EXX Africa has developed a COVID-19 impact assessment model that forecasts country risk vulnerability across 54 African countries. The model assesses the impact of COVID-19 on each African country’s political, security, and economic risk profile in the one-year outlook.
The factor weighting and standardisation methodology remain proprietary to EXX Africa. Only the results of the model are currently provided as open content. For further information on the model and EXX Africa COVID-19 content please email Insight@EXXAfrica.com
AFRICAN COUNTRIES AT HIGHEST RISK OF COVID-19 IMPACT
Based on proprietary forecasting methodology. All forecasts in the one-year outlook.
What is ‘Critical Impact’? EXX Africa currently defines any country whose score on the country risk vulnerability model exceeds 6.0 to be at risk of a broad political, security, and economic destabilisation that causes a long-term deteriorating impact on the country’s risk outlook.
COVID-19 IMPACT ASSESSMENT
COUNTRY RISK VULNERABILITY INDEX FOR ALL COUNTRIES
Based on proprietary forecasting methodology. All forecasts in the one-year outlook.
| COUNTRY | DEFAULT HIGH RISK SCORE | COVID-19 INFECTIONS FACTOR | ECONOMIC RESILIENCE FACTOR | HEALTHCARE RESILIENCE FACTOR | POPULATION DENSITY FACTOR | DISEASE TOLERANCE FACTOR | COVID-19 TESTING FACTOR | LOCKDOWN VARIATION FACTOR | IMPACT ASSESSMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGERIA | 3.77 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 6.31 |
| ANGOLA | 3.85 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5.44 |
| BENIN | 1.69 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2.77 |
| BOTSWANA | 1.65 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 5.46 |
| BURKINA FASO | 6.13 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 5.75 |
| BURUNDI | 4.05 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5.22 |
| CAMEROON | 5.23 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5.99 |
| CAPE VERDE | 1.72 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 6.09 |
| CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC | 6.85 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5.74 |
| CHAD | 5.88 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 5.05 |
| COMOROS | 4.10 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5.24 |
| CONGO, REPUBLIC | 5.30 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 6.92 |
| COTE D'IVOIRE (IVORY COAST) | 3.37 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4.35 |
| DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO | 6.78 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 6.01 |
| DJIBOUTI | 4.26 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5.30 |
| EGYPT | 2.85 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 3.54 |
| EQUATORIAL GUINEA | 5.55 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7.02 |
| ERITREA | 6.28 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5.21 |
| ETHIOPIA | 6.20 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5.48 |
| GABON | 4.38 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5.65 |
| GAMBIA | 4.19 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5.28 |
| GHANA | 3.68 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 4.77 |
| GUINEA | 5.58 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5.23 |
| GUINEA-BISSAU | 5.93 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6.27 |
| KENYA | 4.38 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 4.75 |
| LESOTHO | 3.40 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5.86 |
| LIBERIA | 4.75 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5.50 |
| LIBYA | 7.36 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 8.34 |
| MADAGASCAR | 4.75 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5.50 |
| MALAWI | 4.13 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4.95 |
| MALI | 6.26 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5.80 |
| MAURITANIA | 3.64 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5.66 |
| MAURITIUS | 1.37 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4.75 |
| MOROCCO | 2.34 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 6.34 |
| MOZAMBIQUE | 4.45 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5.08 |
| NAMIBIA | 2.03 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6.21 |
| NIGER | 5.33 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4.83 |
| NIGERIA | 5.30 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6.02 |
| RWANDA | 1.96 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3.48 |
| SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE | 2.35 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5.74 |
| SENEGAL | 2.46 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4.28 |
| SEYCHELLES | 1.52 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6.01 |
| SIERRA LEONE | 4.95 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5.58 |
| SOMALIA | 8.05 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 6.22 |
| SOUTH AFRICA | 3.51 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 6.80 |
| SOUTH SUDAN | 6.80 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4.22 |
| SUDAN | 6.64 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 6.86 |
| SWAZILAND | 3.40 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6.16 |
| TANZANIA | 3.80 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3.02 |
| TOGO | 2.19 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3.58 |
| TUNISIA | 3.87 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 6.95 |
| UGANDA | 4.23 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4.39 |
| ZAMBIA | 5.53 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6.71 |
| ZIMBABWE | 8.10 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 8.04 |
NOVEL CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19)
COVID-19 TOTAL INFECTIONS
COVID-19 TOTAL DEATHS
COVID-19 TOTAL TESTS
COVID-19 INFECTIONS / 1m POPULATION
COVID-19 DEATHS / 1m POPULATION
COVID-19 TESTS / 1m POPULATION
COVID-19 AFRICA CUMULATIVE CHARTS
COVID-19 AFRICA PER DAY CHARTS
COVID-19 CASES IN AFRICA (ACTIVE, RECOVERED, DEATHS)
COVID-19 INFOGRAPHICS FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Latest updated versions
