Country Risk Outlook

Current risk rating by default at highest risk score.

8.0 – 10
6 – 7.9
4.0 – 5.9
2.0 – 3.9
0.0 – 1.9

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Latest Headline Analysis

The government has pledged political reforms and the release of political prisoners to end a post-election crisis that has tarnished Benin’s democratic credentials. However, the opposition has mostly been excluded […]
Nigerian indefinite border restrictions on official trade with Benin and Niger are another setback to the continent’s free trade efforts, as import bans drive up inflation and stimulate demand for […]
The president makes a bold political gamble to force parliament to lift an interest rate cap which has starved private sector lending and is slowing economic growth. His government hopes […]
Regardless of the outcome of next week’s elections, Botswana faces its most significant political shift in over 50 years. The transition comes just in time as the economy is slowing […]
Guinea is at a crossroads between a peaceful political transition or another military intervention. Despite growing resistance from civil groups and opposition parties, President Alpha Condé is determined to go […]
The government seeks more revenue from the mining sector to provide a quick fix to a distressed economy caused by shrinking development assistance and depreciation of the local currency due […]
The world’s second-worst Ebola epidemic has been marked by attacks against aid workers involved in the response effort. EXXAfrica’s latest analysis briefing looks at why this is the case in […]
In the most likely scenario, a disparate group of Islamists and social conservatives will unite to elect Tunisia’s new president and form a new coalition government to face off a […]
Despite a recent lull in violence, a new outbreak of ethnic unrest in Amhara region indicates that federal secessionism remains rife across many regions. Authorities are ill-prepared to hold a […]
The US is taking a prime position to benefit from oil sector opportunities in Somalia as the Horn of Africa country increasingly re-engages with international partners and donors. Somalia’s government […]

Latest Special Features

The main opposition’s rejection of election results is based on credible evidence of voter intimidation and ballot manipulation which EXXAfrica flagged three months ago. However, the results are unlikely to […]
EXXAfrica unpacks the data and trends behind the main insurance policies available to commercial entities in South Africa, debunking popular opinions around strikes and terrorism in particular.
In a three-part analysis briefing series, EXXAfrica explores specific threats to the aviation sector in Africa. In part one, we examine how the risks of war and terrorism may manifest […]
As security conditions across the Sahel continue to rapidly deteriorate, regional and international states have renewed their efforts to support joint counter-terrorism operations. EXX Africa assesses the potential for these […]
Small-scale demonstrations in Egyptian cities are little more than a stinging condemnation of corruption within the country’s opaque military-industrial complex. Protesters are not calling for a removal of the military-backed […]
While an alleged coup plot has been overblown by the government for political gain, the incident does put a spotlight on the deployment of politically affiliated militia groups ahead of […]
A sprawling IMF-backed privatisation programme creates exceptional opportunities for investors across diverse sectors. State assets selloffs may also be the only course for Angola to reduce its massive public debt […]
A shock to global oil prices leaves many African markets unprepared for more expensive import bills, while some crude producers may struggle to reap the benefits of higher oil export […]
The government will capitalise on Robert Mugabe’s legacy to consolidate its authority and establish further control over patronage networks in the banking and agricultural sectors. However, it is failing to […]
The suspension of work on the Uganda to Tanzania crude pipeline is a major setback for the development of the Lake Albert oil sector and is likely to push back […]

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EXX  AFRICA is a specialist intelligence company that delivers accurate, decision-ready, and commercially relevant forecasts on African security, political, and economic risk to a wide-ranging number of clients.

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