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Supporters of the opposition will start to mobilise to pressure the electoral commission to accept their demands for reform ahead of the December elections, yet even if the various fragmented […]
An escalation of violence is likely in the pre-election period in the Anglophone Southwest and Northwest regions, while road closures, kidnap threats, and robberies will pose a heightened risk in […]
A proposed delay to legislative elections seems engineered to favour the president and allied opposition, while harming the ruling party in parliament; international stakeholders will push for a compromise settlement […]
In the one-month outlook, further demonstrations and retaliatory violence are likely leading up to trials of opposition leaders, while the risk of diplomatic sanctions would increase in case of broader […]
The redeployment of regional military assets away from the Lake Chad basin has opened an opportunity for Islamist militants to consolidate and prepare a new offensive in northeast Nigeria ahead […]
Desperately searching for fresh funds to service its mounting debt burden, the cash-strapped government has stopped paying public salaries and repaying VAT rebates to mining firms, while offering state assets […]
The low capability of recent attempted terrorist attacks on Cairo’s diplomatic and government assets indicate the curtailed threat of local militant groups, although an expected drawdown of counter-terrorism offensives could […]
The possibility of intervention by other militant groups in Tripoli’s ongoing security crisis risks escalating the conflict and establishing new flashpoints, including militant-secured areas of strategic significance such as Mitiga […]
The exclusion of high profile candidates from upcoming municipal elections are triggering divisive defections from the ruling party, driving risk of youth protests in the capital, and straining peace negotiations […]
The initiation of a counter-offensive by the Chadian army in its northern mining region of Tibesti, in addition to counter-measures being undertaken by the Libyan National Army, is aimed at […]

Latest Special Features

In the first six months of its administration, the new government had taken a measured and pragmatic approach to pursue internal and external peace, enhanced political pluralism, and economic privatisation, […]
The ongoing contract frustration experienced by telecoms firm MTN in Nigeria and the threat of punitive action against banks such as HSBC are highly indicative of intensifying populist and politically […]
The newly elected president has consolidated his political authority through shaking up the cabinet, while he is sending a reformist message to creditors that he will prioritise growth as a […]
A booming economy and improved governance are creating fresh opportunities for project finance deals. While the economic and financial outlook is relatively strong, there are emerging concerns over political patronage […]
Acute divisions between the reformist treasury and central bank and a populist legislature over a fuel tax and interest rate cap are imperilling the extension of the IMF’s standby credit […]
The new government will seek international re-engagement, political conciliation, and economic recovery, while taking a measured approach, prioritising less disruptive policy, and personnel changes and gradually moving toward more comprehensive […]
Critical oil industry reform has once again become stuck in parliamentary processes, while political will to implement the various governance, licensing, and fiscal policy reforms is waning ahead of the […]
Incomplete data on farm attacks are facilitating the politicisation of the issue by lobby groups and political parties, even though a review of available statistics shows a downward trend in […]
One year into its administration, Angola’s new government turns to the IMF seeking a three-year extended facility that will test the boundaries of its reformist credentials and potentially boost the […]
Commercial and humanitarian interests face an ever increasing risk of banditry from both militant groups and criminal organisations, especially outside of the capital where government security forces hold little sway.

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